The Number of Possible CETIs within Our Galaxy and the Communication Probability among These CETIs
The authors carry out Monte Carlo simulations to calculate the number of possible communicating extraterrestrial intelligent civilizations within our Galaxy and the communication probability among these CETIs based on the latest astrophysical information. The authors analyze various factors, including the rate of star formation, the prevalence of habitable planets, and calculate the likelihood of life developing intelligence and receiving signals from other CETIs. These simulations provide a quantitative explanation for the so-called Fermi Paradox - the question about why we have not received signals from CETIs yet, giving detailed arguments and studies of the reasons why we still have not received signals from extraterrestrial civilizations, and give approximate amount of time humanity needs to survive to recieve these signals. The study highlights the importance of understanding the conditions necessary for CETIs to emerge and communicate. It also discusses the challenges of interstellar communication, such as vast distances and the limitations of current technology. While the results suggest that CETIs may be rare and communication between them unlikely, they also highlight the importance of continued exploration and technological development in the search for extraterrestrial intelligence.